SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | West Ham United |
30.35% ( -0.23) | 24.25% ( 0.07) | 45.41% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( -0.43) | 43.93% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.68% ( -0.42) | 66.32% ( 0.42) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.37) | 27.41% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.11% ( -0.48) | 62.89% ( 0.48) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( -0.1) | 19.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.62% ( -0.17) | 51.38% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.35% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.12% Total : 45.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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