SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Bournemouth |
58.13% ( -0.4) | 21.82% ( 0.04) | 20.04% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.64% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( 0.31) | 42.54% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( 0.31) | 64.95% ( -0.31) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( -0.02) | 14.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.78% ( -0.05) | 42.22% ( 0.04) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( 0.54) | 35.03% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.22% ( 0.57) | 71.77% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 20.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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