We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Real Sociedad
Both teams have shown some good form recently, though the away side suffered a disappointing 4-0 exit from the Copa del Rey. With five wins from their previous six games and home advantage on their side, we are backing Leipzig to come away with a narrow victory to take into the crucial second leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
