MX23RW : Sunday, February 26 00:44:24
SM
EFL Cup final: 15 hrs 45 mins

We said: Valencia 1-1 Real Sociedad

This should be an intriguing match, particularly as both sides will enter the contest off the back of Copa del Rey encounters. Both managers will be hoping to secure a huge three points, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides, ultimately settling on a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad
23.06%25.03%51.91%
Both teams to score 49.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.51%52.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.84%74.16%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3%37.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52%74.48%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79%20.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46%52.53%
Score Analysis
    Valencia 23.06%
    Real Sociedad 51.91%
    Draw 25.02%
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-1 @ 5.8%
2-0 @ 3.63%
3-1 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 23.06%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.62%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 12.18%
0-2 @ 9.74%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-3 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 5.06%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.91%

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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona2219214573859
2Real Madrid23164347182952
3Real Sociedad2313463223943
4Atletico MadridAtletico23126532181442
5Real BetisBetis2312473225740
6Rayo Vallecano239772925434
7Athletic Bilbao229583123832
8Villarreal229492422231
9Mallorca2394102124-331
10Osasuna228681921-230
11GironaGirona227693333027
12Espanyol236982934-527
13Sevilla226792430-625
14CadizCadiz2367101835-1725
15Celta Vigo2266102334-1124
16Real ValladolidValladolid2273121630-1424
17Valencia2365122727023
18Getafe2257101928-922
19Almeria2264122740-1322
20ElcheElche2316161748-319
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