Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
