Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
