Judging by recent results, AZ are nailed on favourites to come out on top this weekend, and we expect them to live up to expectations in what should be a routine victory for the home side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 84.71%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 4.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.55%) and 1-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.17%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
