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A
Eredivisie | Gameweek 19
Feb 6, 2022 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
HA
Ajax
3 - 0
Heracles
Klaassen (22'), Haller (55'), Taylor (65')
Alvarez (7'), Antony (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sierhuis (73'), Bakboord (80')

We said: Ajax 4-0 Heracles

Having just recently reclaimed top stop, Ajax will be looking to pull clear of all title contenders and three points this weekend would certainly be a step in the right direction. We fancy them to cruise to a comfortable victory, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.79%. A draw had a probability of 7% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 3.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawHeracles
89.79%7.01%3.19%
Both teams to score 47.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.03%18.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
63.35%36.65%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.51%2.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
88.32%11.68%
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.87%51.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.57%85.43%
Score Analysis
    Ajax 89.79%
    Heracles 3.19%
    Draw 7.01%
AjaxDrawHeracles
3-0 @ 10.72%
4-0 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 8.7%
5-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 7.19%
4-1 @ 6.65%
2-1 @ 5.84%
5-1 @ 4.92%
1-0 @ 4.7%
6-0 @ 4.53%
6-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.41%
7-0 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 2.23%
5-2 @ 1.65%
7-1 @ 1.6%
8-0 @ 1.11%
6-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 89.79%
1-1 @ 3.15%
2-2 @ 1.96%
0-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 7.01%
1-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 3.19%

Read more!
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Heerenveen11003123
2PSV EindhovenPSV11002023
3Vitesse11002113
4FC Twente00000000
5Ajax00000000
6Go Ahead Eagles00000000
7AZ AlkmaarAZ00000000
8SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior00000000
9Sparta RotterdamSparta00000000
10PEC Zwolle00000000
11Heracles00000000
12Fortuna SittardSittard00000000
13Almere CityAlmere City00000000
14Feyenoord00000000
15NECNijmegen00000000
16FC VolendamVolendam100112-10
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk100113-20
18FC UtrechtUtrecht100102-20
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