Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
