MK Dons just about have the better recent form in this fixture, having taken three wins to Charlton's two in their last six meetings. The game could easily go either way - especially with the wildcard of cup football - but we are backing the Dons to edge this one and condemn the home side to a third consecutive loss.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlton Athletic in this match.
