MK Dons 1-2 Oxford United - League One - December 11, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK at Stadium MK

MK Dons

1 - 2

Oxford Utd

Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: MK Dons 1-2 Oxford United

It is unlikely that either of these two sides will break into the automatic promotion spaces, making the playoffs their only viable route out of the division. MK Dons may be the home side, but Oxford have the experience in recent years, making an away win the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Oxford United
33.3%	25.45%	41.24%

Both teams to score 55.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77%

48.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62%

70.38%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.37%

27.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.83%

63.17%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78%

23.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87%

57.12%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 33.3%

Oxford United 41.24%

Draw 25.44%

MK Dons	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.3%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.24%

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League One Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	28	18	7	3	48	18	30	61
2	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	29	18	7	4	51	30	21	61
3	Ipswich Town Ipswich	29	15	10	4	54	29	25	55
4	Derby County Derby	28	15	8	5	45	21	24	53
5	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	30	15	8	7	38	23	15	53
6	Barnsley	27	14	5	8	36	26	10	47
7	Peterborough United Peterborough	27	14	2	11	45	32	13	44
8	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	28	13	5	10	38	27	11	44
9	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	29	13	5	11	36	31	5	44
10	Portsmouth	27	9	11	7	35	33	2	38
11	Exeter City Exeter	29	10	8	11	42	41	1	38
12	Charlton Athletic Charlton	28	9	10	9	43	39	4	37
13	Bristol Rovers	29	10	7	12	43	52	-9	37
14	Port Vale	29	10	7	12	29	40	-11	37
15	Oxford United Oxford Utd	30	9	8	13	34	36	-2	35
16	Lincoln City Lincoln	27	7	13	7	27	30	-3	34
17	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	28	6	11	11	31	33	-2	29
18	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	28	8	5	15	23	35	-12	29
19	MK Dons	29	8	4	17	27	40	-13	28
20	Burton Albion	28	7	7	14	37	56	-19	28
21	Morecambe	28	6	9	13	31	45	-14	27
22	Accrington Stanley Accrington	27	6	8	13	25	45	-20	26
23	Cambridge United Cambridge	28	7	5	16	24	47	-23	26
24	Forest Green Rovers Forest Green	30	5	6	19	24	57	-33	21