MX23RW : Monday, January 2 01:53:54
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Monday, January 2
Dec 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Stadium MK
MK Dons
1 - 1
Plymouth
Watson (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grant (66')
Houghton (53'), Wilson (73')

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth have shown regularly this season that they have the quality to challenge for promotion, and their previous confidence should return at some stage. Nevertheless, we do not expect it to occur on Wednesday, leading us to predict an important victory for the home side in Milton Keynes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawPlymouth Argyle
44.91%24.63%30.46%
Both teams to score 57.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39%45.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06%67.94%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6%20.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.17%52.83%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.86%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 44.91%
    Plymouth Argyle 30.46%
    Draw 24.63%
MK DonsDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.2%
1-0 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.26%
3-1 @ 4.88%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-1 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.46%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth25175346262056
2Ipswich TownIpswich24147346242249
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds24147340182249
4Barnsley22124630181240
5Derby CountyDerby23108529171238
6Wycombe WanderersWycombe2511593326738
7Bolton WanderersBolton2310762720737
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough24112113931835
9Port Vale2410592732-535
10Exeter CityExeter259793836234
11Bristol Rovers259794042-234
12Portsmouth2271052927231
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood2461172825329
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd247892927229
15Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2485112329-629
16Charlton AthleticCharlton2461083635128
17Lincoln CityLincoln2261062227-528
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2384111825-728
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2373132134-1324
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257102134-1322
21Burton Albion2557133250-1822
22Morecambe2449112434-1021
23MK Dons2463152336-1321
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2555152149-2820
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