Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Preston North End - EFL Cup Second Round - Football

With Wolves expected to make widespread changes, Preston will fancy their chances of inflicting a defeat on their more illustrious hosts. Although the home side should dictate the play, we are backing the visitors to claim a narrow win, taking advantage of Wolves' lack of ruthlessness. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Preston North End
51.76% ( 3.46)	26.09% ( -0.19)	22.14% ( -3.27)

Both teams to score 45.66% (

-2.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.74% (

-1.9)

57.26% (

1.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.89% (

-1.53)

78.1% (

1.53)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

0.73)

22.22% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36% (

1.09)

55.63% (

-1.1)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71% (

-4.14)

41.29% (

4.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

-3.87)

77.82% (

3.87)

Score Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers 51.76%

Preston North End 22.14%

Draw 26.09%

Wolverhampton Wanderers	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 13.8% ( 1.25) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 1.14) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.67) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.87% Total : 51.76%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.47) Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.75) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.59) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.32) Other @ 1.2% Total : 22.14%

Form, Standings, Stats