SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Brentford | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Newcastle United | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Fulham | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Leicester City | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
66.4% ( 0.39) | 19.8% ( -0.18) | 13.79% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( 0.3) | 44.71% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( 0.29) | 67.07% ( -0.29) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.43% ( 0.2) | 12.57% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.36% ( 0.42) | 38.64% ( -0.42) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.02% ( -0.13) | 43.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.89% ( -0.11) | 80.11% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.46% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 66.39% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.36% Total : 13.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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