SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | MVV Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | MVV Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Telstar |
60.15% ( 0.72) | 20.28% ( -0.24) | 19.57% ( -0.48) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.99% ( 0.42) | 36.01% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.89% ( 0.46) | 58.11% ( -0.46) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.32% ( 0.33) | 11.68% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.24% ( 0.7) | 36.76% ( -0.7) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( -0.22) | 31.69% ( 0.22) |
