Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and De Graafschap.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jong Ajax 1-1 De Graafschap
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
| 7 | Jong Ajax | 37 | 19 | 62 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 37 | 15 | 58 |
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 3-1 De Graafschap
Friday, May 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Friday, May 13 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 37 | 15 | 58 |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 37 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 37 | -19 | 46 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 42.57% | 22.95% | 34.47% |
| Both teams to score 64.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
