Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 53.53%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.1%) and 0-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
