Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
