SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Almere City | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Eindhoven | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Heracles | 6 | 8 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
45.46% ( -0.02) | 24.6% ( 0.01) | 29.93% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( -0.03) | 45.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( -0.03) | 68.07% ( 0.03) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% ( -0.02) | 20.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.46% ( -0.03) | 52.54% ( 0.03) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( -0) | 28.6% ( 0) |
