Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
0.48) 
-0.47) 
