Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Eindhoven would win this match.
