Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
