Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match.
