Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
