MX23RW : Sunday, June 4 21:01:56
SM
Hamburg vs. Stuttgart: 21 hrs 43 mins
I(
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Internacional
4 - 1
Colo-Colo
Bustos (29'), Edenilson (32'), Alemao (60'), Henrique (74')
Gabriel (27'), Vitao (31'), de Pena (80'), Moises (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Costa (15' pen.)
Pavez (25'), Gil (27'), Zaldivia (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-0 Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Internacional 2-1 Colo-Colo

The onus is more on Internacional to seize the initiative and take the fight to Colo Colo, who have a lead to protect. While we expect the home side to come out on top on the day, we are backing the visitors to go through on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Colo-Colo win it was 0-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawColo-Colo
47.89% (0.107 0.11) 28.57% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 23.54% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 40.88% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.8% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)64.2% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.67% (-0.064 -0.06)83.33% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (0.012 0.01)27.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.09% (-0.163 -0.16)43.91% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.95% (-0.134 -0.13)80.05% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 47.88%
    Colo-Colo 23.54%
    Draw 28.55%
InternacionalDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 15.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.41% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 47.88%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.43% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-0 Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Coritiba
Saturday, June 25 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-3 Botafogo
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 1-2 Internacional
Thursday, June 16 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 3-1 Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-0 Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 4-0 Colo-Colo
Friday, May 20 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Friday, May 6 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 13 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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