SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Fluminense | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Goias | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | America Mineiro | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Internacional | 11 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Santos | 12 | 5 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Goias had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Internacional in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Internacional.
| Result | ||
| Goias | Draw | Internacional |
28.05% ( 0.13) | 27.92% ( -0) | 44.02% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.77% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.28% ( 0.07) | 59.72% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.98% ( 0.06) | 80.02% ( -0.06) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% ( 0.14) | 37.32% ( -0.14) |
