SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Coritiba | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Internacional | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Goias | 10 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Flamengo | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Botafogo | 10 | -3 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Internacional win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Flamengo |
33.63% ( -0.05) | 26.29% ( -0.23) | 40.08% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.27% ( 0.95) | 51.73% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% ( 0.82) | 73.5% ( -0.82) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( 0.44) | 29.13% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.94% ( 0.54) | 65.06% ( -0.54) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% ( 0.59) | 25.38% ( -0.59) |
