SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Coritiba | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Internacional | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
54.97% ( -0.52) | 26.47% ( 1.04) | 18.56% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 40.13% ( -3.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.03% ( -3.94) | 61.96% ( 3.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.29% ( -3) | 81.71% ( 3) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( -1.85) | 22.81% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.46% ( -2.81) | 56.53% ( 2.81) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.99% ( -2.96) | 48.01% ( 2.96) |
