Fortaleza have done well to put themselves ahead in the fight for second spot, but they face a particularly tough test on Wednesday, and we see them falling short on their travels.
Colo-Colo got the better of their opponents in Brazil and will fancy themselves to triumph again in such an important contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
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