SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Atletico Goianiense | 10 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 | Juventude | 10 | -7 | 10 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 10 | -6 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Internacional | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Fluminense | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | America Mineiro | 10 | -1 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Fluminense |
46.1% ( -1.04) | 29.16% ( 0.33) | 24.74% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 40.46% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.74% ( -0.55) | 65.26% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.93% ( -0.38) | 84.07% ( 0.39) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.8) | 28.54% ( 0.81) |
