This has all the makings of a very competitive game, and Luton will fancy their chances of causing the upset after their previous efforts against automatic promotion contenders at Kenilworth Road. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Rovers while they occupy an automatic promotion spot, leading us to predict a narrow win for the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
