Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 23.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Juventus |
51.24% ( 0.02) | 25.19% | 23.56% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 49.77% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.31% ( -0.03) | 52.68% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.67% ( -0.03) | 74.32% ( 0.02) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.43% ( -0) | 20.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.91% ( -0) | 53.09% ( 0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( -0.04) | 37.34% ( 0.04) |