Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Corinthians |
67.82% ( 0.09) | 19.77% ( -0.03) | 12.41% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 45.18% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.3% ( 0) | 47.7% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.11% ( 0) | 69.89% |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.94% ( 0.03) | 13.06% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.35% ( 0.06) | 39.65% ( -0.05) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.96% ( -0.1) | 48.04% ( 0.1) |