SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 42.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Goias | Draw | Corinthians |
42.63% ( -0.42) | 28.87% ( 0.11) | 28.5% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 43.51% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.33% ( -0.26) | 62.66% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.77% ( -0.19) | 82.22% ( 0.19) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( -0.36) | 29.14% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.93% ( -0.44) | 65.06% ( 0.44) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.1) | 38.58% ( -0.11) |
