Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Goias had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Goias win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
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