Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
