SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Charleroi | 40 | 7 | 61 |
| 8 | Mechelen | 39 | -3 | 56 |
| 9 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 2 | 51 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Union SG | 39 | 52 | 84 |
| 3 | Gent | 40 | 30 | 74 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 39 | 37 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
30.54% ( 1.28) | 24.94% ( 0.47) | 44.53% ( -1.74) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% ( -1.4) | 46.93% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% ( -1.33) | 69.18% ( 1.33) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( 0.17) | 28.78% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.38% ( 0.21) | 64.63% ( -0.2) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -1.33) | 21.12% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.05% ( -2.12) | 53.95% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.54% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.29)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 76 | 35 | 41 | 74 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 66 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 56 |
| 5 | GentGent | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 55 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 42 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 50 |
| 8 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | CharleroiCharleroi | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 47 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 46 |
| 11 | Leuven | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 45 |
| 12 | Sint-Truiden | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 42 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 36 |
| 14 | KortrijkKortrijk | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 31 |
| 15 | EupenEupen | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 28 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 27 |
| 17 | KV OostendeOostende | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 75 | -40 | 24 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 32 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 26 | 65 | -39 | 19 |
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