Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
