SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Genk | 40 | 21 | 62 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 40 | 7 | 61 |
| 8 | Mechelen | 39 | -3 | 56 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Charleroi | 40 | 7 | 61 |
| 8 | Mechelen | 39 | -3 | 56 |
| 9 | Sint-Truiden | 34 | 2 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Mechelen |
49.64% ( -0.04) | 23.35% ( -0) | 27% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.03% ( 0.05) | 41.97% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( 0.05) | 64.37% ( -0.05) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( 0) | 17.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.78% ( 0.01) | 47.22% ( -0.01) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.06) | 28.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.43% ( 0.07) | 64.57% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 4.04% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Genk | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 62 |
| 2 | Union SGUnion SG | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 24 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Royal AntwerpAntwerp | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 23 | 19 | 47 |
| 4 | Club BruggeBrugge | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | GentGent | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 38 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 35 |
| 8 | Sint-Truiden | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 35 |
| 9 | Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Leuven | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Anderlecht | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | CharleroiCharleroi | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
| 13 | MechelenMechelen | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | EupenEupen | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 22 |
| 15 | KortrijkKortrijk | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 22 |
| 16 | Zulte WaregemZulte | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 20 |
| 17 | RFC Seraing | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 18 |
| 18 | KV OostendeOostende | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 18 |
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