Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 57.56%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
