Despite their Arab Cup defeat against Algeria last time out, Morocco head into the tournament as one of the most in-form sides and favourites to go all the way. While we expect Ghana to put up a fight, we are tipping the Atlas Lions to come away with all three points as they boast a significantly superior squad.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.
