Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
