Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match.
