Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 49.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
