Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Namibia win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
