Guinea 1-0 Malawi - Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage - Football

Jan 10, 2022 at 4pm UK at Stade 28 Septembre

Guinea

1 - 0

Malawi

Sylla (35')
Conte (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Idana (81'), Mbulu (83')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Guinea and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Guinea 2-1 Malawi

Guinea have more experience at this level and will be expected to come away with all three points in this one, and while we fancy Malawi to push them all the way, we are also backing Guinea to carry the day at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Guinea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea.

Result
Guinea	Draw	Malawi
53.28%	25.51%	21.2%

Both teams to score 46.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.9%

56.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.83%

77.17%

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.08%

53.92%

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.41%

41.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.92%

78.07%

Score Analysis

Guinea 53.28%

Malawi 21.2%

Draw 25.51%

Guinea	Draw	Malawi
1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 4.84% 4-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.88% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.28%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 3.38% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.16% Total : 21.2%

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Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Leeds United Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Leicester City Leicester	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Manchester City Man City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Manchester United Man Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Newcastle United Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	West Ham United West Ham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0