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Australian A-League | Gameweek 21
Mar 16, 2024 at 4.30am UK
Eden Park
SF
Wellington
2 - 1
Sydney FC
Matthews (54' og.), Barbarouses (69')
Sutton (79'), Wootton (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mak (6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, March 9 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 10 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 36.97% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.53%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.32%).

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
36.97% (0.093000000000004 0.09) 23.3% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 39.73% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.11% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)37.42% (0.298 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (-0.318 -0.32)59.64% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)20.57% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9% (-0.137 -0.14)53.1% (0.14 0.14)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.72% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)19.28% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.99% (-0.319 -0.32)51.01% (0.322 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 36.97%
    Sydney FC 39.73%
    Draw 23.3%
Wellington PhoenixDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.27% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.96% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.97%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.057 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 39.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Wellington
Saturday, March 9 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 3-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, March 3 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington
Saturday, February 24 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Wellington
Sunday, February 18 at 7.01am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 4.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, February 6 at 3am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 10 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-4 Sydney FC
Saturday, March 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 24 at 6.40am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, February 17 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, February 3 at 6am in Australian A-League

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