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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.98%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 23.78% and a draw has a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.33%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
54.98% ( -0.04) | 21.23% ( 0.17) | 23.78% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 63.3% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.05% ( -0.99) | 34.95% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.07% ( -1.11) | 56.93% ( 1.1) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( -0.35) | 12.8% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.88% ( -0.7) | 39.11% ( 0.69) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( -0.65) | 27.4% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( -0.85) | 62.88% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.98% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 23.78% |
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