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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 37.3% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.04%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.7%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
40.01% ( 0.25) | 22.68% ( 0.41) | 37.3% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 66.57% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.76% ( -2.16) | 34.24% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.86% ( -2.48) | 56.14% ( 2.48) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( -0.81) | 17.81% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.47% ( -1.41) | 48.53% ( 1.41) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( -1.24) | 19% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.44% ( -2.1) | 50.56% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.49)2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.06% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.3% |
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