Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
